UPDATED: Tanzania rivals dash for finish line in Sunday election; opposition says to reject rigged vote


Analysts warn the unusually tight race could spark tensions, with the opposition providing the stiffest challenge to the CCM since 1995.

TANZANIA had final campaign rallies before general elections Sunday, with outgoing President Jakaya Kikwete warning against violence while the opposition pledged not to accept results in the event of vote rigging. 

“If someone loves themselves, let them not try causing any trouble tomorrow,” Kikwete told a rally in Mwanza, a city near Lake Victoria where ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi party candidate John Pombe Magufuli held his final rally. 

Former Premier and now opposition candidate Edward Lowassa led a final rally in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania’s commercial hub, where Freeman Mbowe, Chairman of Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo or Chadema Party warned against election malpractice. “We urge security services to respect the constitution. If results from the National Electoral Commission are not the right ones, we will not accept them,” he said. 

Chadema, the main opposition party, said on Oct. 19 it was losing confidence in the country’s electoral commission for violating rules and had sent a letter to the United Nations, African Union and Commonwealth on the alleged breaches.

The two front-runners pledged to improve delivery of social services in Africa’s third biggest producer of gold, some of which is mined by Acacia Mining Plc. Two September polls saw Magufuli, 55, securing more than 60% of ballots, while another showed Lowassa winning with just over half the support of Tanzania’s 23.3 million electorate. Six other contenders garnered little backing.

Outgoing President Kikwete, is not running having served his constitutional two-term limit.

“I want to lead the country to development and good welfare,” said John Magufuli of the long-ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) and the favourite to win the national race, in one of his final speeches.

“Everyone deserves a better life irrespective of his or her political inclination.”

But  Magufuli, 55, will face a tough challenge from the main opposition parties who have rallied around ex-prime minister Edward Lowassa, 62. He recently defected from the CCM to the opposition Chadema, heading a coalition of parties.

“Let us kick CCM out of office, the regime that has failed the nation for all the 54 years it has been in office,” Lowassa said.

“This is going to be the toughest, but most exciting election in the country’s history,” said veteran politician Pius Msekwa, a former CCM party vice-chairman, and vice chancellor of the University of Dar es Salaam.

Other analysts agree, with Bath, U.K.-based Verisk Maplecroft saying Sunday’s election is the tightest since the nation gained independence from the British more than five decades ago.

‘If you lose, accept defeat’ 

Analysts have also warned that the unusually tight race could spark tensions, with the opposition providing the first credible challenge to the CCM since the introduction of multi-party democracy in 1995.

“If you lose, accept defeat,” former Nigerian president Goodluck Jonathan, who heads a team of Commonwealth election observers, said this week.

“Prepare to lose gracefully,” Tanzania’s Citizen newspaper appealed to candidates in an editorial this week. “We should learn that there’s always life after elections.”

As well as a presidential race, voters will also be casting ballots in parliamentary and local polls on Sunday, including on the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar, which will also hold its own presidential elections.

Regional neighbours are watching the race keenly.

“For a taste of political ruckus, the joke went that in Tanzania’s social places, most tuned into Kenyan TV stations… that was until the last bout of electoral contest that climaxes with elections on Sunday,” Kenya’s The Standard newspaper wrote this week.

Both Magufuli and Lowassa have made repeated calls for the preservation of peace and national unity in speeches denouncing tribalism, religious violence and corruption.

Despite impressive economic growth, little has trickled down to the majority and the country remains very poor by regional and international standards, the World Bank says.

On Zanzibar, campaigning has been largely peaceful, but residents are stockpiling food and water, fearful of possible unrest after the polls on the Indian Ocean islands, famed for their pristine white sand beaches and UNESCO-listed architecture.

The archipelago’s president and vice-president—ruling as part of a unity government—will go head-to-head as frontrunners in the race, which will see just over 500,000 registered voters on the islands cast their ballots.

Leading candidates are incumbent president Ali Mohamed Shein of the ruling CCM, and current vice-president Seif Sharif Hamad from the opposition Civic United Front (CUF), who are currently sharing power in a unity government.

Tanzania’s $49 billion economy grew more than 7% in 2014, according to the International Monetary Fund. The mostly agrarian market is looking to diversify into gas production, with an estimated 55 trillion cubic feet of reserves that are the biggest in east Africa after Mozambique. 

Statoil ASA, based in Stavanger, Norway, and the U.K.’s BG Group Plc may build the nation’s first liquefied natural gas plant at an estimated cost of $15 billion.

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